Yes, this does not seem to make sense. Why should the market transact at 54.39 for 30 June if the rate is not expected to be at or near 54.39 on 30 June? How can the banks (the dominant players in the forex market) risk a loss? The fact is that the banks are not taking a view on the future exchange rate when transacting a Forward Rate. They are really lending one currency and borrowing another currency for the same stated value date (or maturity date) and the Forward Rate is calculated so as to bridge the interest rate differential between the two currencies.
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